The Orb of Chance is one of the most dynamic and interesting currency items in Path of Exile’s economy. Unlike stable currencies like Chaos Orbs or Exalted Orbs, Chance Orbs fluctuate based on player demand for uniques, league mechanics, and meta shifts. Understanding how these trends work can help you turn simple orbs into significant profit—especially if you time the market right or supplement your income with resources like poe 2 currency for sale early in a league or by using buy poe 2 currency strategically during peak crafting moments.
Why Orb of Chance Prices Move
Orb of Chance value rises and falls not because the item itself becomes inherently stronger, but because player behavior changes over time. At the start of a new league, players rush to complete specific builds and obtain key uniques. This creates a spike in demand for specific missable or highly desirable items. During this phase, even mid-tier uniques sell well, and players are often willing to spend Chance Orbs en masse. Many traders leverage this by stockpiling or trading Chance Orbs for early profit.
As the league matures, the market typically cools down. Most players have settled into their builds, and the obsession with early uniques wanes. At this stage, Chance Orbs become commodity currency—frequently exchanged, abundant, and relatively cheap compared to Chaos Orbs. This mid- to late-game period is usually not the best time to sell Chance Orbs directly. Instead, players often use them for crafting fuel or to target niche builds that require a specific unique.
Market forces also react to patch notes and meta shifts. If a patch buffs a particular skill or introduces new mechanics that elevate certain uniques, demand for those items can spike, which in turn can increase the desirability (and price) of Chance Orbs indirectly. Savvy traders watch patch notes and community trends closely, anticipating when previously cheap or ignored uniques become suddenly valuable.
Profit Tips for Orb of Chance
Target Specific Bases Early
Don’t just chance random items. Focus on bases with only one or two possible uniques, especially if those uniques are known to be powerful in popular builds. This improves your odds of profit and reduces wasted Chance Orbs.
Watch the Meta
Before investing hundreds of Chance Orbs, check popular build guides and trading platforms. If a unique is trending because it’s newly buffed or meta-defining, those Chance Orbs are more valuable right now than after the hype fades.
Bulk Opportunities
Mid-league is often a great time to bulk trade Chance Orbs for Chaos Orbs or other currencies. Because supply is high and demand is moderate, many players are willing to trade Chance Orbs cheap just to clear inventory. You can accumulate massive stacks this way, saving them for later peaks.
Crafting for Profit
Using Chance Orbs to create valuable uniques can be profitable, but sometimes the best strategy is to use them to complete vendor recipes. For example, using a Chance Orb to turn a white item into a rare that completes a Chaos Recipe converts a low-value currency directly into Chaos Orbs—earning profit without high-risk gambling.
Leverage League Mechanics
Mechanics like Breach, Abyss, Delirium, and Legion massively increase drops. Running juiced maps with these mechanics not only boosts your Chance Orb drops but also gives you a steady stream of base items to chance.
Orb of Chance prices are never static—they reflect the pulse of the PoE economy. If you learn to read those pulses, target the right bases, and use your Chance Orbs strategically, you can transform a simple crafting currency into a reliable source of profit. With a little market awareness and smart timing, those humble orbs can become a cornerstone of your trading and crafting strategy throughout any league.